A Very Boring Oscar Predictions- She said

It's Oscar weekend! I know some don't care, and some really don't care about the Oscars anymore, but it's that time of year to see what a bunch of old white guys tell us what the best films of the year are. What's sad is the Oscars have almost become too predictable and pretty much boring. Maybe it was my young age, but I remember a time when there was actual excitement and anticipation of who would go home with the gold man. Nowadays, you don't even need to see the movies to figure out who the winners will be.

Everyone has been throwing out their picks that they'd write down on their Oscar ballot, so I thought I would do the same. Now I have two different picks for each category. The first is what my heart wants, and the second is what I would bet on if this were a Blackjack game in Vegas.

The Academy Awards airs tomorrow at 7pm on ABC.


Check out my picks after the jump.

Best Picture

• THE ARTIST
• THE DESCENDANTS
• EXTREMELY LOUD & INCREDIBLY CLOSE
• THE HELP
• HUGO
• MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
• MONEYBALL
• THE TREE OF LIFE
• WAR HORSE

What I want: HUGO
What will win: THE ARTIST because The Academy loves nostalgia.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

• Demian Bichir, A BETTER LIFE
• George Clooney, THE DESCENDANTS
• Jean Dujardin, THE ARTIST
• Gary Oldman, TINKER TAYLOR SOLDIER SPY
• Brad Pitt, MONEYBALL

Who I want: Gary Oldman (I mean the man is a chameleon)
Who will probably win: Jean Dujardin

Best Actress in a Leading Role

• Glenn Close, ALBERT NOBBS
• Viola Davis, THE HELP
• Rooney Mara, THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
• Meryl Streep, THE IRON LADY
• Michelle Williams, MY WEEK WITH MARILYN

Who I want: Meryl Streep
Who will win: Viola Davis, who I do love, but not necessarily for this film.

Best Actor In a Suppporting Role

• Kenneth Branagh, MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
• Jonah Hill, MONEYBALL
• Nick Nolte, WARRIOR
• Christopher Plummer, BEGINNERS
• Max von Sydow, EXTREMELY LOUD & INCREDIBLY CLOSE

Who I want: Andy Serkis, can we have a write in vote?
Who will win: Christopher Plummer

Best Acress In a Supporting Role

• Berenice Bejo, THE ARTIST
• Jessica Chastain, THE HELP
• Mellisa McCarthy, BRIDESMAIDS
• Janet McTeer, ALBERT NOBBS
• Octavia Spencer, THE HELP

Who I want: Not really anyone, but I guess Melissa McCarthy just because it would be funny.
Who will win: Octavia Spencer, but I'm tired of people winning for stereotypical characters.

Best Director

• Michel Hazanavicius, THE ARTIST
• Alexander Payne, THE DESCENDANTS
• Martin Scorsese, HUGO
• Woody Allen, MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
• Terrence Malick, THE TREE OF LIFE

Who I want: Martin Scorsese
Who will win: This could be close, but more than likely Michel Hazanavicius will win.

Writing (Original Screenplay)

• THE ARTIST, by Michel Hazanavicius
• BRIDESMAIDS, by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig
• MARGIN CALL, by J.C. Chandor
• MIDNIGHT IN PARIS, by Woody Allen
• A SEPARATION, by Asghar Farhadi

Who I want: Woody Allen
Who will win: Woody Allen (I swear if Hazanavicius wins, I quit)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

• THE DESCENDANTS, Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
• HUGO, Screenplay by John Logan
• THE IDES OF MARCH, Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
• TINKER TAYLOR SOLDIER SPY, SCreenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan

Who I want: John Logan
Who will win: Part of me wants THE DESCENDANTS because Jim Rash from Community is a writer, but HUGO will probably win this.

Animated Feature Film

• A CAT IN PARIS, Alain Gagnol & Jean-Loup Felicioli
• CHICO & RITA,Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal
• KUNG FU PANDA 2, Jennifer Yuh Nelson
• PUSS IN BOOTS, Chris Miller
• RANGO, Gore Verbinski

Who I want: RANGO
Who will win: RANGO. This really shouldn't even be close.

Foreign Language Film

• Belgium, BULLHEAD, Michael R. Roskam, Director
• Canada, MONSIEUR LAZHAR, Phillippe Falardeau, Director
• Iran, A SEPARATION, Asghar Farhadi, Director
• Israel, FOOTNOTE, Joseph Cedar, Director.
• Poland, IN DARKNESS, Agnieszka Holland, Director

Who I want: A SEPARATION
Who will win: A SEPARATION. Other than BULLHEAD, I haven't heard much about any other nominees.

Music (Original Score)

• THE ADVENTURES OF TIN TIN, John Williams
• THE ARTIST, Ludovic Bource
• HUGO, Howard Shore
• TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY, Alberto Iglesias
• WAR HORSE, John Williams

Who I want: Howard Shore
Who will win: I would say John Williams for WAR HORSE, but he might split votes with himself. Depending on how much momentum it has, Ludovic Bource could take it.

Music (Original Song)

• "Man or Muppet" from THE MUPPETS, Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie
• "Real in Rio" from RIO, Music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown, Lyric by Siedah Garret

Who I want: Bret McKenzie
Who will win: Bret McKenzie, I don't think this is even a question.

Art Direction

• THE ARTIST, Laurence Bennett (Production Design); Robert Gould (Set Decoration)
• HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2: Stuart Craig (Production Design); Stephenie McMillan (Set Decoration)
• HUGO; Dante Ferretti (Production Design); Francesca Lo Schiavo (Set Decoration)
• WAR HORSE: Rick Carter (Production Design); Lee Sandales (Set Decoration)

What I want: HARRY POTTER!!!!!!! But realisticly, HUGO.
Who will win: Proably THE ARTIST.

Cinematography

• THE ARTIST, Guillaume Schiffman
• THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, Jeff Cronenweth
• HUGO, Robert Richardson
• THE TREE OF LIFE, Emmanuel Lubezki
• WAR HORSE, Janusz Kaminski

Who I want: Robert Richardson
Who will win: I'm going out on a limb and saying Emmanuel Lubezki to shake things up a bit.

Costume Design

• ANONYMOUS, Lisy Christl
• THE ARTIST, Mark Bridges
• HUGO, Sandy Powell
• JANE EYRE, Michael O’Connor
• W.E, Arianne Phillips

Who I think: Lisy Christl. Never underestimate an Elizabethean era film.
Depending on momentum, who could win: Mark Bridges.

Documentary Feature

• HELL AND BACK AGAIN
• IF A TREE FALLS: A STORY OF THE EARTH LIBERATION FRONT
• PARADISE LOST 3: PURGATORY
• PINA
• UNDEFEATED

Who I want: Ummmmmm, Pina

Who will win: No earthly idea. I didn't keep up as well with documentaries this year.

Documentary Short

• THE BARBER OF BIRMINGHAM: FOOT SOLDIER OF THE CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT, Robin Fryday and Gail Dolgin
• GOD IS THE BIGGER ELVIS, Rebecca Cammisa and Julie Anderson
• INCIDENT IN NEW BAGHDAD, James Spione
• SAVING FACE, Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy
• THE TSUNAMI AND THE CHERRY BLOSSOM, Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen.

Who I want: GOD IS THE BIGGER ELVIS because I like that title.
Who will win: Again, missed these when they were playing at a local theatre, so I'm lost.

Film Editing

• THE ARTIST, Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius
• THE DESCENDANTS, Kevin Tent
• THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
• HUGO, Thelma Schoonmaker
• MONEYBALL, Christopher Tellefsen

Who I want: HUGO. Beginning to see a pattern here?

Who will win: THE ARTIST

 Best Makeup

• ALBERT NOBBS, Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew W. Mungle
• HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2, Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin
• THE IRON LADY, Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland

Who I want: HARRY POTTER!!!!
Who will win: THE IRON LADY? Hard say because I alwasy thought it was more about achievement in makeup, and making an actress look plain doesn't seem lke much of an achievement to me.

Short Film (Animated)

• DIMANCHE/SUNDAY  Patrick Doyon
• THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOKS OF MR. MORRIS LESSMORE, William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg
• LA LUNA, Enrico Casarosa
• A MORNING STROLL, Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe
• WILD LIFE, Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby

Who I want: THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOKS OF MR. MORRIS LESSMORE. We were able to catch these last weekend, and this short was absolutely brilliant.

Who will win: LA LUNA. It's a Pixar short. I mean clearly they have to win something every year. Don't get me wrong, the short is great, but my pick went to a deeper level.

Short Film (Live Action)

• PENTECOST, Peter McDonald and Eimear O’Kane
• RAJU, Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren
• THE SHORE,  Terry George and Oorlagh George
• TIME FREAK, Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey
• TUBA ATLANTIC, Hallvar Witzø

Who I want: TIME FREAK

Who will win: I missed these as well, so it's all up in the air.

Sound Editing

• DRIVE, Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis
• THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, Ren Klyce
• HUGO, Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty
• TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON, Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahl
• WAR HORSE, Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom

Who I want: HUGO

Who will win: WAR HORSE for the WWI trench sequence.

Sound Mixing

• THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson
• HUGO, Tom Fleischman and John Midgley
• MONEYBALL, Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, Dave Giammarco and Ed Novick
• TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON, Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin
• WAR HORSE, Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson and Stuart Wilson

Who I want: HUGO

Who will win: WAR HORSE

Visual Effects

• HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2, Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson
• HUGO, Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning
• REAL STEEL, Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor and Swen Gillberg
• RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES, Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett
• TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON Dan Glass, Brad Friedman, Douglas Trumbull and Michael Fink

Who I want: RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES! This shouldn't even be a question in anyones mind.

Who will win: RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

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